Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1302
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 1302 · ATL → MCO
departs 9:37 PM ET · arrives 11:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.