Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1303
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1303 · DTW → MSP
departs 7:39 PM ET · arrives 8:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.