Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 1448 · MSP → PHX
departs 9:57 PM CT · arrives 11:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,233 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.