Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1497 · MCO → ATL
departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 9:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.