Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1497
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1497 · MCO → ATL
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.