Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1559 · SFO → LAX
departs 6:19 PM PT · arrives 7:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 46%
Fri 11/6 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.