Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1559 · SFO → LAX
departs 6:33 PM PT · arrives 7:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 46%
Fri 11/6 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.