Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1584
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1584 · AUS → LAX
departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 30%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.