Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1588
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 1588 · ATL → MIA
departs 7:20 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.