Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2215
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2215 · ATL → RSW
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.