Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2215 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 2215 · ATL → RSW

departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2215 · ATL → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?