Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2512
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2512 · SEA → LAX
departs 9:37 PM PT · arrives 12:07 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 30%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,320 ft Visibility 7.2 mi Precip 0.11 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.