Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 2512 · SEA → LAX

departs 9:46 PM PT · arrives 12:33 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2512 · SEA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?