Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2546 · MSP → SYR
departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 11:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.03 in
SYR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.