Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2640
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2640 · LAX → SEA
departs 5:45 PM PT · arrives 8:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 33%
Thu 11/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.