Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2794
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 2794 · LAS → CVG
departs 10:25 PM PT · arrives 4:06 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 26%
Tue 11/3 11%
Wed 11/4 10%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.