Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2794
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2794 · LAS → CVG
departs 10:26 PM PT · arrives 5:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 11%
Wed 11/4 10%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
LAS is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at LAS that day
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,733 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.