Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 2938 · ATL → RDU
departs 11:10 PM ET · arrives 12:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 21%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.