Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2938 · ATL → RDU
departs 11:10 PM ET · arrives 12:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 21%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.