Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2941 · MSP → BIL
departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BIL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at BIL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BIL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
BIL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.