Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3021
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 3021 · ATL → PNS
departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PNS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,367 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.