Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3021 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 3021 · ATL → PNS

departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3021 · ATL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?