DL 3083 · MSP → BIS

took off 6:32 PM CT · expected to land 7:30 PM CT (scheduled 6:27 PM CT → 8:01 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BIS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BIS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSP that day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.39 in

BIS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3083 · MSP → BIS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BIS?