DL 8933 · SAT → MSP

departs 10:58 PM CT · arrives 1:51 AM CT

Your aircraft is N662DN (B752).

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSP that day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SAT that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.04 in

MSP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8933 · SAT → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?