Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 989 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 989 · LAX → KOA

departs 4:47 PM PT · arrives 7:56 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.15 in

KOA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 989 · LAX → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?