Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 989 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 989 · LAX → KOA

departs 4:47 PM PT · arrives 8:53 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into KOA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

KOA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 989 · LAX → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?