Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
OO 3746 · LAX → SAN
departs 9:50 PM PT · arrives 10:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.22 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.