Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3746
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
OO 3746 · LAX → SAN
departs 10:45 PM PT · arrives 11:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/31 39%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
0.4 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.40 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.