Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
OO 4014 · MSP → OMA
departs 9:30 PM CT · arrives 10:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into OMA at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.03 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.