tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1761 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1761 · ORD → MSY

departs 8:11 PM CT · arrives 10:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    55%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.