Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1056
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1056 · LAX → HNL
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 10:03 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.