Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1056
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1056 · LAX → HNL
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 10:34 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.