Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1188 · LAS → TUL
departs 3:18 PM PT · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 68%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.