Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1532 · BNA → OKC
departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.