Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1532 · BNA → OKC
departs 10:44 PM CT · arrives 12:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 24%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.