Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 172
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 172 · DAL → LIT
departs 7:23 PM CT · arrives 8:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 31%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
LIT usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2.33333 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.