Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 172
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
WN 172 · DAL → LIT
departs 9:43 PM CT · arrives 11:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Mon 11/2
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at LIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LIT?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
LIT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.