Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 1959 · HNL → ITO
departs 5:15 PM HT · arrives 6:27 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 21%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 31%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ITO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ITO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.