Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1959 · HNL → ITO
departs 5:15 PM HT · arrives 6:25 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 21%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 31%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
ITO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 667 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.