Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1968 · HNL → LGB
departs 12:45 PM HT · arrives 8:49 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 19%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
12pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 3,833 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
LGB (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.