Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1968 · HNL → OAK
departs 1:34 PM HT · arrives 9:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 19%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from HNL are often late
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.