Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2106 · DEN → LAX
departs 7:40 PM MT · arrives 9:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 48%
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 32%
Thu 11/5 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±11 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.