Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2122 · HOU → SAT
departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 35%
Wed 11/4 41%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.11 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.