Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2122 · HOU → OMA
departs 8:39 PM CT · arrives 10:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 35%
Wed 11/4 41%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.