Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2248
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2248 · LAS → BNA
departs 3:09 PM PT · arrives 8:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 100%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 64%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.