Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2248
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2248 · LAS → BNA
departs 3:04 PM PT · arrives 8:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 100%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.13 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.