Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2517
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2517 · MIA → HOU
departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
5pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.60 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.