Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3101 · LAS → BUR
departs 4:27 PM PT · arrives 5:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 58%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.