Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3101 · LAS → BUR
departs 3:32 PM PT · arrives 4:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.19 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.