Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3416 · PHX → LGB
departs 4:41 PM MT · arrives 6:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 64%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.